Predicting Bitcoin price movement using BaZi and Chinese Astrology

I’ve been researching Chinese BaZi for over 15 years, the last 6 years quite extensively. Primarily, my focus was on individuals and their interactions with people and their ability to obtain wealth, power, education, etc. Analyzing an entire market, such as cryptocurrency, is a different game, and I started looking into it just a few months ago, so please consider this research in progress. And also, to make it clear, please do not consider any info here as financial advice. This method is untested and highly speculative.

When I look into a person’s Chart, things are relatively simple: we have a central point of reference, which is the Master Element, and we look at the entire Chart to analyse the environment. With stock markets or cryptocurrencies, we do not have a Chart because we do not have a date of birth. It’s even more problematic with regular stocks, like Facebook or Apple, because we have to consider charts of CEOs, founders, and other influential board or team members to reach a conclusion.

Another issue is how to classify a specific business. A person is born with a single Master Element; for example, Steve Jobs is Yang Fire. Which Element is Apple? Hard to say. Generally speaking, finances are Metal Elements, but if we analyse, for example, an oil company, then we are probably talking about the Fire Element. If it’s a travel company, like Expedia, we might consider Water a central point of reference.

The reason I’m interested in following Bitcoin and applying BaZi to it is its relative simplicity. Bitcoin has no owner, no CEO, no board members, and, heck, we don’t even know most of the people behind the top 100 Bitcoin wallets. This purity makes Bitcoin follow natural laws more organically, without the direct meddling of influential individuals. (Although some might argue that there are so-called Bitcoin whales who are manipulating BTC price, because of their anonymity, BTC is still far more organic than any other stock or asset out there.)

Bitcoin is also often called a store of value, or digital gold, so we can clearly classify this asset as Metal because it has all the properties of that Element.

So, if Metal is the central point of reference, we can look at charts to see how this Metal might behave over different periods.

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The year 2017, or precisely, from 5. February 2017 to 5. February 2018 was a year of the Rooster. Rooster represents the strongest type of Metal in BaZi; we could predict that in 2017, we will have a strong focus on finances and money management. Bitcoin was growing steadily almost the entire 2017. In December, we had a Rat, which is the strongest manifestation of the Water Element. Metal produces Water in the Five Element production cycle, which means the Metal Element is in a strong, productive mode. This production peaked on 16 December, which is the peak of the Rat month. After that day, it went into correction, but then again went back into productive mode, and finally reached the end of the line.

On 6. In January, we entered Ox month, which represents mainly Earth and Metal. Water Element was gone, and Metal Element became excessive. Excessive Metal Element, without Water to produce, or Wood and Fire to interact with, suddenly becomes unusable, or inflated, hence the sudden drop in value.

The entire Ox month represents inflation of the Metal Element. Bitcoin was going downhill until the end of the Rooster and the beginning of the Dog year, on 5. February. At that point, the Metal Element was pretty much non-existent; therefore, the BTC market went through a reset. From 5. February Bitcoin was growing steadily for precisely one month (Tiger), then it dived in again on 6 March, which is the beginning of the Rabbit month. The reason for this is most likely excessive Fire, which came from the combination of Rabbit and Dog, so Metal was diminished entirely.

From that point, I have to admit I was pretty much unclear how things would unfold, although I did mark one date on my calendar as significant, which is 12. April. On this date, we had a major triple clash between Dog and Dragon. These kinds of clashes represent a considerable movement. If this were a Chart of the person, I would predict a career change, moving house, or living in another city or country. I wasn’t sure how this clash would affect Bitcoin until 12. April arrived.

On that day, Bitcoin jumped over $1,000 in a single hour (interestingly enough, matching the hourly clash in Asian markets), and it moved the crypto market into an uptrend. Just two weeks later, the entire crypto market cap gained almost 50%. The recovery was well underway after months of a downtrend, and it all started on 12. April, with a major Dog and Dragon clash.

Now, as I said, this is all still research in progress. It’s hard to conclude such a small sample and few data points, but if somebody asked me to pinpoint a few dates in 2018 that might trigger a significant change in the crypto market, 5 February and 12 April would be at the top of that list. And it turned out that on both days, BTC and crypto experienced a significant shift.

So, probably many of you are asking, what is next?

At the moment, I have just two possible triggers in my mind. In June, when the Fire Element will become extremely strong, the Metal will be extremely weak. Another trigger might be in October, when we will have a few more triple clashes between Dragon and Dog, and I think that might trigger a major uptrend which could last until the end of the year.

If this scenario with Metal holds up throughout the year, we might see exciting progress in 2019 and 2020 when strong Water arrives, putting Metal (and Bitcoin) into full production mode and potentially representing mass adoption of cryptocurrency altogether.

So, these are my two cents. Predicting price movements based solely on astrology is not recommended. Still, if combined with proper Technical Analysis and awareness of what is going on in the cryptosphere, I think it can add an interesting and useful dimension and help us understand those significant shifts in the market.